Met Office 10-day Trend: Mild November Continues as Unsettled Weather Approaches
In early November, the UK is experiencing unusually mild weather, with temperatures well above the season's average. The Met Office's latest 10-day outlook indicates this warm spell will soon end, giving way to more unsettled and changeable conditions as the new working week begins.
Weather Pattern Influenced by Wavy Jet Stream
A highly wavy jet stream over the Atlantic is shaping current weather patterns. This has produced a series of troughs, including one extending down towards Iberia. In the next few days, this trough is expected to strengthen, anchoring low pressure to the south and drifting northward towards the UK by the weekend.
Weekend and Following Week Forecast
As we approach the weekend, another jet stream dip will create a broader trough over the Atlantic. This fluctuating jet stream pattern contributes to the slow-moving weather systems forecasted for next week. A competition will develop between low pressure to the west and high pressure to the east of the UK, resulting in variable weather conditions.
Unseasonably Mild Temperatures
One striking aspect of this period is the unusually mild temperatures. On Thursday, highs are projected to reach the mid to high teens Celsius, with some places hitting 15°C, 16°C, or even 17°C. These temperatures are approximately six to seven degrees above average for November.
Bonfire Night 2025 was record breaking 🎆 Temperatures overnight only dropped to 14°C.
This combination of mild conditions and shifting weather patterns suggests a notable transition after a relatively calm start to the month.
Author's summary: Mild November temperatures above average will soon shift to unsettled weather as a wavy jet stream brings slow-moving low-pressure systems to the UK.